2024 NFL Model Update Week 6
Check out our updated 2024 NFL model here! Of 51 models tracked here, ours was the most accurate model last week and remains the third best overall. Last week, we correctly predicted 10/14 or 71% of games correctly. Overall on the season, we have correctly predicted 64.1% of games. The table below contains our predictions for this week
| Week | Home | Away | Home Team Precicted Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SEA | SF | -1.8 |
| 6 | CHI | JAX | 2.3 |
| 6 | PHI | CLE | 10.2 |
| 6 | TEN | IND | 1.5 |
| 6 | GB | ARI | 5.1 |
| 6 | NE | HOU | -5.1 |
| 6 | NO | TB | 1.1 |
| 6 | BAL | WAS | 8.4 |
| 6 | LV | PIT | -1.8 |
| 6 | DEN | LAC | -1.0 |
| 6 | CAR | ATL | -4.9 |
| 6 | DAL | DET | -0.7 |
| 6 | NYG | CIN | -2.8 |
| 6 | NYJ | BUF | -1.1 |
Remember that our model relies on Vegas data and doesn’t directly ingest game data. This means it reacts quickly to the latest information. With that in mind, the graphic below shows how our power rankings have evolved over time.
Our model also produces championship probabilities, visualized in the graphic below. The model landing page contains more in depth playoff probabilities including odds to make the world series, make the playoffs, etc.
For more information and data, check out our model’s landing page to see rankings, ratings, playoff odds, accuracy analyses, and downloadable predictions for the rest of the season!
