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Author: jdashbrock

Posted onJuly 21, 2020July 21, 2020Basketball

Home Court Advantage with Maximum Likelihood Estimation

by jdashbrock

One of the most important factors that go into which team will win a game is the home court advantage of that team. In both…

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Posted onJuly 13, 2020July 15, 2020Basketball

Simulating the Missing March Madness: The Odds of a Dayton National Championship

by jdashbrock1 Comment on Simulating the Missing March Madness: The Odds of a Dayton National Championship

This one hurts to write. I spent four years in sunny Dayton, Ohio studying mathematics at the University of Dayton. We love our basketball. In…

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Posted onJune 26, 2020July 15, 2020Baseball

Using Run Expectancy to Value Intentional Walks

by jdashbrock

Barry Bonds has been intentionally walked more than twice as much as any other player in the history of baseball. Even if you just account…

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Posted onJune 21, 2020February 1, 2023Baseball

RE24 and the Run Expectancy Matrix for Decision Making

by jdashbrock

I was wrong about sabermetrics. I thought I came up with the idea for RE24 and the run expectancy matrix all by myself. Then, I…

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Posted onJune 16, 2020July 15, 2020Baseball

Counting RBI is Useless

by jdashbrock

Do You Think ‘RBI’ is Useless? RBI is still one of the most used stats to discuss the quality of season a player had. Many…

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Posted onJune 12, 2020July 15, 2020Baseball

An Addendum to ‘Batting Order Doesn’t Really Matter’

by jdashbrock1 Comment on An Addendum to ‘Batting Order Doesn’t Really Matter’

In a previous article, we came to the conclusion that batting order truly doesn’t matter. We did our experiments using the World Champion 2016 Chicago…

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Posted onJune 8, 2020July 15, 2020Baseball

Batting Order Doesn’t Really Matter

by jdashbrock

In today’s article, we introduce a technique which will allow us to analyze baseball events, players, and strategies from the view of expected average runs…

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Posted onMay 27, 2020July 15, 2020Fantasy

Fantasy Football Strategy: Why the Beginners Always Win

by jdashbrock

Fantasy football has a larger degree of luck than most of us care to admit. If you’re like me, you spent many hours last summer…

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Posted onMay 21, 2020July 15, 2020Fantasy

Fantasy Football Strategy: Two Opposing Views

by jdashbrock

Fantasy football, on its surface, is one of the simplest games there is. You pick the good players, make sure each position is filled, and…

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Posted onMay 16, 2020July 15, 2020Basketball

How Bad is the NBA Conference Imbalance?

by jdashbrock

In the past few years the Western Conference teams have been hugely disadvantaged when it comes to making the NBA Finals. We’ll show here that,…

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