We’ve discussed previously how to use Vegas data to build models for NFL games. Can we build a baseball Elo model using the same ideas?…
In the NFL, fans often focus of time of possession as an important indicator of how the game is going. The common consensus is that…
It feels like no matter how hard anyone tries, nobody can beat Vegas ratings. No matter what model you look at or which year you…
Sometimes the final score doesn’t tell the whole story of an NFL game. In fact, usually this is the case. The final score can change…
We constantly hear announcers or pundits talk about players resting because of back to back NBA games. If we’re resting players, it must be because…
The 2024 college football playoff format is changing yet again. In this sport, it seems like no matter what you do, somebody feels like they…
We all remember the measures of central tendency from middle school: mean, median, and mode. All we heard about was mean, median, and mode, but…
Expected points in the NFL is the amount of points a team is expected to score on the current drive. Expected points added or EPA…
Quick notes…. Use these links to skip ahead to your favorite game…Bucks @ Knicks; Warriors @ Nuggets; Celtics @ Lakers; 76ers @ Heat; Mavs @…
In the article here, we introduced the sparse impacts model. This NBA model is our attempt at creating a simple yet effective way to predict…