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Category: Baseball

Posted onSeptember 15, 2024September 15, 2024Baseball

Winning (and Losing!) Streaks in Baseball

by jdashbrock

Winning streaks in baseball can range from a few games to nearly a month. From the middle of August to early September in 2002, the…

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Posted onJuly 25, 2024July 25, 2024Baseball

Contestants Get Measurably Exhausted During the Home Run Derby

by jdashbrock

For years, analysts have talked about the “home run derby hangover”. This hangover manifests in derby contestants performing noticeably worse in the second half of…

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Posted onMarch 6, 2024March 6, 2024Baseball

Improving our Baseball Elo Model with Better Pitcher Rankings

by jdashbrock

In a recent article we posted, we talked about how to build a baseball Elo model and the ins and out of how that worked.…

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Posted onMarch 3, 2024March 6, 2024Baseball

Building a Baseball Elo Model using Betting Data

by jdashbrock

We’ve discussed previously how to use Vegas data to build models for NFL games. Can we build a baseball Elo model using the same ideas?…

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Posted onOctober 29, 2023October 29, 2023Baseball

Save your Ace by Shifting Your Pitching Rotation

by jdashbrock

Sabermetrics and baseball analytics are all about questioning traditional wisdom with data. We challenge traditional wisdom, long held beliefs. This is precisely why sabermetrics are…

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Posted onOctober 16, 2023October 16, 2023Baseball

What is FIP in Baseball?

by jdashbrock

FIP in baseball is the result of a relatively new analytics push to separate pitcher impacts from defense impacts. FIP stands for Fielding Independent Pitching.…

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Posted onOctober 4, 2023October 4, 2023Baseball

What are Pythagorean Wins and Pythagorean Expectation?

by jdashbrock

All sports analytics tries to predict the true quality of a team. One of the simplest models to do this is the technique called Pythagorean…

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Posted onAugust 31, 2023August 31, 2023Baseball

Great Pitching Beats Great Hitting…or Does It?

by jdashbrock

The common wisdom is that great pitching beats great hitting. This line of thinking becomes especially true as the calendar turns towards October and the…

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Posted onAugust 26, 2023August 26, 2023Baseball

What is ERA in Baseball and Pitching Stats Explained

by jdashbrock

One of the most used statistics in baseball is ERA or earned run average. It is often used (along with WHIP) as a quick look…

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Posted onJune 25, 2023June 25, 2023Baseball

Intro to Time Series and Sports

by jdashbrock

In many real life applications – stock markets, weather modeling, and sales forecasting to name a few – data has a natural sequential ordering that…

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