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Category: Mathematics

Posted onDecember 3, 2022December 3, 2022Mathematics

How to Measure and Compute Strength of Schedule

by jdashbrock

When somebody asks me what a mathematician actually does all day, I often bring up strength of schedule in sports. Strength of schedule is one…

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Posted onNovember 26, 2022November 26, 2022Mathematics

How AI in Esports is Changing Our Games

by jdashbrock

One of the overwhelming stories in science over the last decade is the huge breakthrough in machine learning spurred largely by neural networks and increased…

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Posted onJuly 10, 2022July 10, 2022Betting

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Sports Betting

by jdashbrock

Making money betting on sports is not easy – you either need to know more about sports, more about statistical modeling, or have access to…

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Posted onDecember 21, 2020December 22, 2020Basketball

NBA Power Rankings with Bayes Ensemble

by jdashbrock

2020 NBA Power Rankings Designing ways to generate power rankings for a particular league is one of the most important problems in sports analytics. About…

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Posted onDecember 12, 2020December 12, 2020Basketball

Benching Players in Foul Trouble: A non-homogeneous Poisson model for NBA fouls

by jdashbrock

Every sports manager is tasked with making decisions. Typically, they rely on years of experience and expertise in order to make the best decisions possible.…

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Posted onDecember 7, 2020December 7, 2020Mathematics

Ensemble Learning in Sports – Polls, Fantasy Rankings, and Vegas Lines

by jdashbrock1 Comment on Ensemble Learning in Sports – Polls, Fantasy Rankings, and Vegas Lines

Everyone talks about models in sports but not nearly as many people realize that ensemble learning in sports is something we have unwittingly been doing…

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Posted onNovember 25, 2020November 25, 2020Betting

Sports Analytics Example: NFL Historical Betting Analysis

by jdashbrock1 Comment on Sports Analytics Example: NFL Historical Betting Analysis

From time to time I want to write articles that focus on teaching analytical methods as much as they focus on sharing the insights drawn…

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Posted onSeptember 19, 2020October 13, 2020Betting

Simple Arbitrage Betting and a Sports Betting Arbitrage Calculator

by jdashbrock

Sports betting is one of the most common ways people enjoy professional sports. Some people like having more of a stake in their home team’s…

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Posted onSeptember 14, 2020May 18, 2022Baseball

Mathematical Modeling Tutorial: The TDJ Baseball Model (Part 1)

by jdashbrock

Check out this updated content in which we describe how to model the number of batters faced per inning using a mixture of negative binomial…

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