Chris Godwin Fantasy Stats: Fantasy Four Factors 2023
Fantasy Four Factors capture four key aspects of a player’s upcoming season: consensus rankings, pedigree and past success, performance trends over more recent games, and consistency both in performance and snap count.
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Chris Godwin Fantasy Fantasy Football Four Factors
Last year, the Buccaneers had some pretty awful quarterback play. Brady was not himself. This year QB is a definite question mark. Baker Mayfield has shown in the past that he can be a good QB, but it is not a good sign that he is on his third team in 3 years.
Chris Godwin has a 5/10 pedigree score. He has missed 2 games each over the last 2 years so on a per-game basis, this would probably be closer to 6/10. At one point he was talked about as the dynasty WR1 so his ancient history pedigree is much highewr. There is no doubt he is talented, but he has struggled to produce recently.
What Chris Godwin has been is consistent. An 8/10 consistency score from a low-end WR2 is really quite good. He has tended to miss a few games each year he has played, otherwise his consistency would likely be a 10/10. His consistency is a testament to always being open and getting lots of targets that translates into lots of yards.
Chris Godwin’s trend score is a bit of a negative. A lot of this is likely attributable to Tom Brady’s regression, not Chris Godwin’s. His touchdowns dropped dramatically last year from 6 to 3. This contributed significantly to his negative trend score. Those drafting him should hope this is the case.
Overall, Chris Godwin earns a 6/10 consensus score. He is a particularly hard player to place simply because the Bucs could have a really bad offense. But again, they might not. The 6/10 score is factoring in a fairly significant amount of uncertainty. This means Godwin could over perform, and it means he could underperform. My bet is the former.
Chris Godwin Stats Analysis
To me, Chris Godwin has a chance to be one of the best sleeper picks in the draft this year. His quarterback play last year was awful, but he wasn’t. They didn’t score many touchdowns as a team, so his fantasy performance struggled a bit. He still broke 1,000 yards and 100 catches though, If he has a big touchdown regression upwards, he could finish as a WR1.
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