Mike Williams Fantasy Stats: Fantasy Four Factors 2023
Fantasy Four Factors capture four key aspects of a player’s upcoming season: consensus rankings, pedigree and past success, performance trends over more recent games, and consistency both in performance and snap count.
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Mike Williams Fantasy Fantasy Football Four Factors
Mike Williams had some pretty high hopes last year. Not only did he disappoint, the entire Chargers team did. With Ekeler, Williams, Allen, and Herbert, that offense should’ve been lethal. But it wasn’t. Is this the year the Chargers bounce back?
Mike Williams seemed poised to be a perennial star after his 2021 season. And he got paid like it. He finished that season as the overal WR9. Then last year he fell back all the way to WR30+. Part of this was injuries, but his per game production dropped by 15-20% as well. His stellar 2021 still combine to an 8.5/10 pedigree.
Though Williams’ consistency is a 5.5/10, his historical ability to put up consistent fantasy numbers has been a lot more suspect. One season he’ll get 10ppg, the next 7 or 8. And back and forth seemingly every year.
The scariest factor for those hoping to draft Mike Williams is his 2/10 trend score. As I mentioned previously, his per game production dropped by nearly 20% from 2021 to 2022. This is a concerning sign. If you are spending capital on Williams, you have to hope he bounces back.
The experts have Mike Williams about where the stats would predict him. His 8.5/10 pedigree score suggests that he could do more. But his 2/10 trend score indicates that 2022 was likely the outlier year and he performed clsoer to expectation last year. A 6.5 trend score is a good WR3, right about where his per game totals from last year would predict he finishes.
Mike Williams Stats Analysis
The story of Mike Williams’ career has been uncertainty. He has always and I mean always had hype. He has been kind of like Davante Parker in that way. Sometimes he has delivered on that hype, and sometimes he hasn’t.
Trying to predict whether Mike Williams will live up to his name on a year to year basis is a risky game. And it is a game that personally I want no part of.
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