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Posted onAugust 20, 2022August 20, 2022Fantasy

Fantasy Football Defense Strategy: Complementary Defenses

by jdashbrock

There are two existing strategies for how to pick a fantasy football defense. Some people like drafting the best projected defense late in the draft…

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Posted onAugust 15, 2022August 15, 2022Fantasy

When to Draft Suspended Players in Fantasy Football

by jdashbrock

Whether it was LeVeon Bell in 2016 or DeAndre Hopkins in 2022, it is always difficult to decide when to draft suspended players in fantasy…

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Posted onAugust 1, 2022August 1, 2022Fantasy

2022 Fantasy Draft Strategy: Standard, Superflex, Half-PPR, and Full-PPR

by jdashbrock10 Comments on 2022 Fantasy Draft Strategy: Standard, Superflex, Half-PPR, and Full-PPR

Winning a fantasy football league requires three things: a well-prepared fantasy draft strategy, careful attention to waivers, and luck. You can’t coach luck and attention…

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Posted onJuly 25, 2022July 25, 2022Uncategorized

Use Median Points Scored in Fantasy, Not Mean (and 2022 QB Ranking Implications!)

by jdashbrock1 Comment on Use Median Points Scored in Fantasy, Not Mean (and 2022 QB Ranking Implications!)

I claim that in fantasy football, median points scored is a better metric for evaluating player quality than mean points scored is. A player with…

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Posted onJuly 10, 2022July 10, 2022Betting

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Sports Betting

by jdashbrock

Making money betting on sports is not easy – you either need to know more about sports, more about statistical modeling, or have access to…

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Posted onJune 22, 2022June 22, 2022Baseball

Sports Analytics and the Credit Assignment Problem (Why We Need More Tracking Data)

by jdashbrock

The credit assignment problem in sports analytics asks the fundamental question of how to divide the credit from a particular event to each of the…

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Posted onMay 26, 2022May 26, 2022Baseball

Modeling Runs Per Inning and MLB Runs per Game the Right Way

by jdashbrock1 Comment on Modeling Runs Per Inning and MLB Runs per Game the Right Way

In our last article, we looked at how best to model the number of batters faced per inning in a typical baseball game. In this…

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Posted onMay 18, 2022May 26, 2022Baseball

Modeling Batters Faced Per Inning with 9 Mixed Negative Binomial Distributions

by jdashbrock2 Comments on Modeling Batters Faced Per Inning with 9 Mixed Negative Binomial Distributions

Our follow up article discussing how to model runs per inning by using the batters faced per inning model is live. In studying the statistics…

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Posted onMay 7, 2022May 7, 2022Football

NFL Draft Accuracy: Three Questions and Answers

by jdashbrock1 Comment on NFL Draft Accuracy: Three Questions and Answers

When analyzing pick values in creating my recent NFL draft value chart, I was led to ask some questions related to accuracy in the NFL…

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Posted onMay 3, 2022April 26, 2023Football

NFL Draft Value Chart (Updated 2023!)

by jdashbrock1 Comment on NFL Draft Value Chart (Updated 2023!)

While watching the first round of the 2022 NFL draft, all I could think about was different ways to construct an NFL draft value chart…

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