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Posted onJanuary 28, 2021January 31, 2023Betting

Super Bowl Squares Probability Charts by Quarter: Which are Best?

by jdashbrock1 Comment on Super Bowl Squares Probability Charts by Quarter: Which are Best?

For those of us who wish the general public to better appreciate mathematics, there are few opportunities that present a better setting than large, commonly…

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Posted onJanuary 19, 2021February 15, 2021Baseball

Solving Baseball Arbitration: Game Theory and a Statistical Model

by jdashbrock4 Comments on Solving Baseball Arbitration: Game Theory and a Statistical Model

In Major League Baseball, arbitration is a process used to determine the salary of young players that are still under team control. Most simply, the…

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Posted onDecember 21, 2020December 22, 2020Basketball

NBA Power Rankings with Bayes Ensemble

by jdashbrock

2020 NBA Power Rankings Designing ways to generate power rankings for a particular league is one of the most important problems in sports analytics. About…

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Posted onDecember 12, 2020December 12, 2020Basketball

Benching Players in Foul Trouble: A non-homogeneous Poisson model for NBA fouls

by jdashbrock

Every sports manager is tasked with making decisions. Typically, they rely on years of experience and expertise in order to make the best decisions possible.…

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Posted onDecember 7, 2020December 7, 2020Mathematics

Ensemble Learning in Sports – Polls, Fantasy Rankings, and Vegas Lines

by jdashbrock1 Comment on Ensemble Learning in Sports – Polls, Fantasy Rankings, and Vegas Lines

Everyone talks about models in sports but not nearly as many people realize that ensemble learning in sports is something we have unwittingly been doing…

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Posted onNovember 28, 2020November 28, 2020Football

The Verdict on Every CFB Mythical National Championship Since 1998

by jdashbrock

A Survey of Mythical National Championships in College Football Following up on our recent article about the University of Central Florida not deserving to claim…

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Posted onNovember 25, 2020November 25, 2020Betting

Sports Analytics Example: NFL Historical Betting Analysis

by jdashbrock1 Comment on Sports Analytics Example: NFL Historical Betting Analysis

From time to time I want to write articles that focus on teaching analytical methods as much as they focus on sharing the insights drawn…

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Posted onNovember 17, 2020November 17, 2020Golf

Masters Pool Strategy: Double your Odds

by jdashbrock2 Comments on Masters Pool Strategy: Double your Odds

I want to discuss Masters Pool strategy and see what we can say mathematically that will help you get the best chance at winning. If…

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Posted onNovember 9, 2020November 9, 2020Golf

My First Foray into Golf Analytics: 2020 Masters Predictions

by jdashbrock2 Comments on My First Foray into Golf Analytics: 2020 Masters Predictions

In honor of the upcoming event, I wanted to dip my toe into the world of golf analytics in order to deliver some 2020 Masters…

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Posted onOctober 31, 2020November 28, 2020Football

The Verdict on 2017 Central Florida’s Mythical National Championship

by jdashbrock

Before 2014, there was really no way to crown a definitive ‘national champion’ of college football. Because of the lack of a playoff, oftentimes many…

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