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Author: jdashbrock

Posted onOctober 19, 2020October 19, 2020Basketball

[Quick Hit] 2 Ways to Analyze a Montrezl Harrell Max Contract

by jdashbrock

One of this year’s biggest free agents is Montrezl Harrell. Though he didn’t start, Montrezl was extremely effective in his limited minutes. Is a Montrezl…

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Posted onOctober 15, 2020October 15, 2020Betting

Sports Arbitrage Betting on 3+ Teams for Guaranteed Profits

by jdashbrock

In this article, we will continue our prior discussion about sports arbitrage betting. Last time we gave an introduction to sports arbitrage betting, worked some…

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Posted onOctober 1, 2020October 1, 2020Fantasy

2020 Fantasy Defense Rankings with Least Squares Defense Rankings

by jdashbrock

In fantasy football, the strategy for one position is unlike any other. For fantasy defenses, the expected points scored depends heavily on the specific offense…

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Posted onSeptember 24, 2020September 25, 2020Baseball

National League Playoff Scenarios: Sep 24 2020

by jdashbrock3 Comments on National League Playoff Scenarios: Sep 24 2020

The National League playoff race is especially close this year. Currently, there are six teams fighting for four spots. The playoff scenarios this year are…

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Posted onSeptember 19, 2020October 13, 2020Betting

Simple Arbitrage Betting and a Sports Betting Arbitrage Calculator

by jdashbrock

Sports betting is one of the most common ways people enjoy professional sports. Some people like having more of a stake in their home team’s…

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Posted onSeptember 14, 2020May 18, 2022Baseball

Mathematical Modeling Tutorial: The TDJ Baseball Model (Part 1)

by jdashbrock

Check out this updated content in which we describe how to model the number of batters faced per inning using a mixture of negative binomial…

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Posted onSeptember 1, 2020September 1, 2020Basketball

[Quick Hit] The Day the Warriors Dynasty Truly Started: Oct 31, 2012

by jdashbrock

October 31, 2012. That’s the day the Warriors dynasty started. On October 31, 2012, Steph Curry agreed to a 4 year, $44 million contract that…

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Posted onAugust 27, 2020August 27, 2020Basketball

NBA Economics and Cost per Win

by jdashbrock

It can be hard to forget that professional sports are a business. As much as we love to talk about owners showing loyalty to players…

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Posted onAugust 17, 2020August 28, 2020Football

Using Average NFL Career Length for 2020 Fantasy Predictions

by jdashbrock

We want to study the average career length of NFL players by position. The average NFL career length is important as a fan as well…

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Posted onAugust 10, 2020October 21, 2020Quick Hits

[Quick Hit] A Nice Way to Show Shooting Accuracy and Shot Selection

by jdashbrock

In working on writing my NBA shooting accuracy article I came up with a neat way to visualize different NBA player’s shot distributions and how…

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