Trevor Lawrence Fantasy Stats: Fantasy Four Factors 2023

Fantasy Four Factors capture four key aspects of a player’s upcoming season: consensus rankings, pedigree and past success, performance trends over more recent games, and consistency both in performance and snap count. 

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Trevor Lawrence Fantasy Fantasy Football Four Factors

Trevor Lawrence is an exciting pick for many this year. He came on really strong towards the end of last year and made a huge jump from 2021 (Urban Meyer year) to 2022. I basically consider this his sophomore season, and I’m curious to see what happens. This huge jump results in Trevor Lawrence earning a 7/10 trend score.

Unfortunately for the TLaw fans out there, his pedigree is pretty low to start with. A 5/10 means borderline replacement level. And for a guy being drafted around QB8 or so, that is a pretty big alarm bell.

Trevor Lawrence has been a very consistent fantasy player, earning a 9.5/10 score. While this looks impressive, when compared to other elite QB options, this score isn’t eye opening. Quarterbacks overall are more consistent, so Lawrence shouldn’t get a huge bump from his seemingly consistent play.

All of these factors wrap up into a 6.5/10 consensus score. This consensus ranking reflects expectations of a much improved season from Trevor Lawrence, but not of world-beating quality. This is largely in line with what we expect, mostly because there are a lot of good quarterbacks out there. 

Trevor Lawrence to me seems like a good, solid pick this year but I wouldn’t expect him to win the league for you. All factors point in the right direction: improve offense, positive trend score, healthy player gaining experience, etc. Let’s see if he can make a jump akin to what his pre-draft hype might suggest.

Trevor Lawrence Stats Analysis

While it is easy to get excited about Trevor Lawrence, your feelings might get tempered just a bit when looking at who sits ahead of him in the rankings. Ask yourself, will Lawrence really outperform those guys this year? 

• Herbert: Lawrence might win
• Fields: Fields trend, consensus, and pedigree are all better
• Lamar: shrugging emoji
• Burrow: Burrow is a better QB and is on a better offense
• Allen, Mahomes, Hurts: Clearly better than Lawrence

To me, I don’t see Trevor Lawrence having a track to better than QB6. Still maybe better than his draft stock, but not a league winner.

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