Trevor Lawrence Fantasy Stats: Fantasy Four Factors 2023

Fantasy Four Factors capture four key aspects of a player’s upcoming season: consensus rankings, pedigree and past success, performance trends over more recent games, and consistency both in performance and snap count. 

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Trevor Lawrence fantasy football analysis with four factors 2023

Trevor Lawrence Fantasy Fantasy Football Four Factors

Trevor Lawrence is an exciting pick for many this year. He came on really strong towards the end of last year and made a huge jump from 2021 (Urban Meyer year) to 2022. I basically consider this his sophomore season, and I’m curious to see what happens. This huge jump results in Trevor Lawrence earning a 7/10 trend score.

Unfortunately for the TLaw fans out there, his pedigree is pretty low to start with. A 5/10 means borderline replacement level. And for a guy being drafted around QB8 or so, that is a pretty big alarm bell.

Trevor Lawrence has been a very consistent fantasy player, earning a 9.5/10 score. While this looks impressive, when compared to other elite QB options, this score isn’t eye opening. Quarterbacks overall are more consistent, so Lawrence shouldn’t get a huge bump from his seemingly consistent play.

All of these factors wrap up into a 6.5/10 consensus score. This consensus ranking reflects expectations of a much improved season from Trevor Lawrence, but not of world-beating quality. This is largely in line with what we expect, mostly because there are a lot of good quarterbacks out there. 

Trevor Lawrence to me seems like a good, solid pick this year but I wouldn’t expect him to win the league for you. All factors point in the right direction: improve offense, positive trend score, healthy player gaining experience, etc. Let’s see if he can make a jump akin to what his pre-draft hype might suggest.

Trevor Lawrence Stats Analysis

While it is easy to get excited about Trevor Lawrence, your feelings might get tempered just a bit when looking at who sits ahead of him in the rankings. Ask yourself, will Lawrence really outperform those guys this year? 

  • Herbert: Lawrence might win
  • Fields: Fields trend, consensus, and pedigree are all better
  • Lamar: shrugging emoji
  • Burrow: Burrow is a better QB and is on a better offense
  • Allen, Mahomes, Hurts: Clearly better than Lawrence

To me, I don’t see Trevor Lawrence having a track to better than QB6. Still maybe better than his draft stock, but not a league winner.

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